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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Al Akhdoud x Al Fayha Betting tips for January 16 in Saudi Arabia Pro League
Thursday, 16 January 2025, 13h55 Saudi Arabia Pro League
Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud
PREDICTION No tip
Al Fayha Al Fayha
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Al Akhdoud x Al Fayha Betting tips for January 16 in Saudi Arabia Pro League

Our betting tip for Al Akhdoud x Al Fayha, Thursday, 16/1/2025
πŸ“… 16/1/2025
13:55
Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud
1.98
X
3.40
Al Fayha Al Fayha
3.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Al Akhdoud x Al Fayha:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Al Akhdoud x Al Fayha

The main points for the tip for Al Akhdoud x Al Fayha:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Al Akhdoud in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-315.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Al Fayha in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Al Akhdoud scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Al Fayha conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Al Akhdoud x Al Fayha for the Saudi Arabia Pro League – 16 of January

🏟️ Al Akhdoud X Al Fayha – Saudi Arabia Pro League
πŸ“… 16 of January, 2025 – 13:55
πŸ”΅ Al Akhdoud – Winning probability: 53.42% | Fair line: 1.87
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.60% | Fair line: 4.06
πŸ”΄ Al Fayha – Winning probability: 21.97% | Fair line: 4.55
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Al Akhdoud
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al Akhdoud x Al Fayha right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1246743 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Al Akhdoud x Al Fayha

Should you bet on Al Akhdoud?

πŸ”΅ Al Akhdoud: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 53.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $519.40;
  • And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$49.40. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $600.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$150.00.

Is it worth betting on Al Fayha?

πŸ”΄ Al Fayha: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $550.00
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$230.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Al Akhdoud x Al Fayha

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Al Akhdoud
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Akhdoud x Al Fayha

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Al Akhdoud and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Al Akhdoud.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Akhdoud x Al Fayha

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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