Al Akhdoud x Al Kholood Betting tips for November 28 in Saudi Arabia Pro League

Our betting tip for Al Akhdoud x Al Kholood, Thursday, 28/11/2024

📅 28/11/2024 15:05

Al Akhdoud 1.95

X 3.45

Al Kholood 3.60

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Al Akhdoud x Al Kholood:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Al Akhdoud x Al Kholood

The main points for the tip for Al Akhdoud x Al Kholood: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Akhdoud in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-315.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Kholood in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-212.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Al Kholood scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Al Kholood conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Al Akhdoud x Al Kholood for the Saudi Arabia Pro League – 28 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al Akhdoud x Al Kholood right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229024 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Al Akhdoud x Al Kholood

Is betting on Al Akhdoud worth it?

🔵 Al Akhdoud: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $522.50;
• And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$72.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $563.50
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$206.50.

Should you bet on Al Kholood?

🔴 Al Kholood: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $572.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$208.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Al Akhdoud x Al Kholood

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Al Akhdoud
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Akhdoud x Al Kholood

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Al Akhdoud, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Al Akhdoud.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Al Akhdoud.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Akhdoud x Al Kholood

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.