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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Al Akhdoud x Al Riyadh Betting tips for October 20 in Saudi Arabia Pro League
Sunday, 20 October 2024, 15h20 Saudi Arabia Pro League
Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud
PREDICTION No tip
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh
Don't miss this prediction!

Al Akhdoud x Al Riyadh Betting tips for October 20 in Saudi Arabia Pro League

Our betting tip for Al Akhdoud x Al Riyadh, Sunday, 20/10/2024
πŸ“… 20/10/2024
15:20
Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud
2.10
X
3.40
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh
3.22

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Al Akhdoud x Al Riyadh:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Al Akhdoud x Al Riyadh

Important information for your tip for Al Akhdoud x Al Riyadh:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Al Akhdoud in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Al Riyadh in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-22.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Al Riyadh conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Al Akhdoud x Al Riyadh?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Al Akhdoud x Al Riyadh:

Analysis from Al Akhdoud x Al Riyadh for the Saudi Arabia Pro League – 20 of October

🏟️ Al Akhdoud X Al Riyadh – Saudi Arabia Pro League
πŸ“… 20 of October, 2024 – 15:20
πŸ”΅ Al Akhdoud – Winning probability: 43.60% | Fair line: 2.29
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.99% | Fair line: 3.7
πŸ”΄ Al Riyadh – Winning probability: 29.41% | Fair line: 3.4
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Al Akhdoud
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al Akhdoud x Al Riyadh right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1204480 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Al Akhdoud x Al Riyadh

Is it worth betting on Al Akhdoud?

πŸ”΅ Al Akhdoud: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – profiting $484.00;
  • And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$76.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $648.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$82.00.

Is betting on Al Riyadh worth it?

πŸ”΄ Al Riyadh: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $643.80
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$66.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Al Akhdoud x Al Riyadh

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Al Akhdoud
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Akhdoud x Al Riyadh

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Al Akhdoud, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Al Akhdoud.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Akhdoud x Al Riyadh

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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