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Home » Predictions » Others » Al Fayha x Al Orubah Betting tips for November 28 in Saudi Arabia Pro League
Thursday, 28 November 2024, 14h45 Saudi Arabia Pro League
Al Fayha Al Fayha
PREDICTION Al Fayha wins Probability 61% 1 X 2
Al Orubah Al Orubah
ODD: @2.05 Don't miss this prediction!

Al Fayha x Al Orubah Betting tips for November 28 in Saudi Arabia Pro League

Our betting tip for Al Fayha x Al Orubah, Thursday, 28/11/2024
📅 28/11/2024
14:45
Al Fayha Al Fayha
2.05
X
3.32
Al Orubah Al Orubah
3.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Al Fayha x Al Orubah:

🔮 Al Fayha wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Al Fayha, you can win up to $1025.00!

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The main points for the tip for Al Fayha x Al Orubah:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Fayha in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $97.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Orubah in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
👉 In the last 4 Al Fayha matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 Al Orubah matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, Al Orubah conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Al Fayha x Al Orubah for the Saudi Arabia Pro League – 28 of November

🏟️ Al Fayha X Al Orubah – Saudi Arabia Pro League
📅 28 of November, 2024 – 14:45
🔵 Al Fayha – Winning probability: 61.25% | Fair line: 1.63
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.26% | Fair line: 4.94
🔴 Al Orubah – Winning probability: 18.49% | Fair line: 5.41
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Al Fayha
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Al Fayha and Al Orubah.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229024 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Al Fayha x Al Orubah

Is betting on Al Fayha worth it?

🔵 Al Fayha: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 610 times – this would give you a profit of $640.50
  • And would lose other 390 times – having a loss of -$390.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$250.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.32. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $464.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$336.00.

Is betting on Al Orubah worth it?

🔴 Al Orubah: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $450.00;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$370.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Al Fayha x Al Orubah

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Al Fayha
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Fayha x Al Orubah

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Al Fayha, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Al Fayha.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Al Orubah.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Fayha x Al Orubah

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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