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Home » Predictions » Others » Al Gharafa x Al-Nassr Riyadh Betting tips for November 25 in AFC Champions League Elite
Monday, 25 November 2024, 16h00 AFC Champions League Elite
Al Gharafa Al Gharafa
PREDICTION Al-Nassr Riyadh Wins Probability 70% 1 X 2
Al-Nassr Riyadh Al-Nassr Riyadh
ODD: @1.46 Don't miss this prediction!

Al Gharafa x Al-Nassr Riyadh Betting tips for November 25 in AFC Champions League Elite

Our betting tip for Al Gharafa x Al-Nassr Riyadh, Monday, 25/11/2024
📅 25/11/2024
16:00
Al Gharafa Al Gharafa
5.75
X
4.25
Al-Nassr Riyadh Al-Nassr Riyadh
1.46

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Al Gharafa x Al-Nassr Riyadh:

🔮 Al-Nassr Riyadh wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Al-Nassr Riyadh, you can win up to $730.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Al Gharafa x Al-Nassr Riyadh:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Gharafa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $101.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Al-Nassr Riyadh in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $35.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Al Gharafa scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Al-Nassr Riyadh scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Al Gharafa matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Al Gharafa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Al-Nassr Riyadh is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 away matches, it had at least 65.00% of possession.
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Al-Nassr Riyadh has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Al Gharafa x Al-Nassr Riyadh for the AFC Champions League Elite – 25 of November

🏟️ Al Gharafa X Al-Nassr Riyadh – AFC Champions League Elite
📅 25 of November, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Al Gharafa – Winning probability: 13.76% | Fair line: 7.27
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.76% | Fair line: 6.34
🔴 Al-Nassr Riyadh – Winning probability: 70.48% | Fair line: 1.42
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Al Gharafa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Al Gharafa x Al-Nassr Riyadh is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1226828 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Al Gharafa x Al-Nassr Riyadh

Is it a good idea to bet on Al Gharafa?

🔵 Al Gharafa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $665.00;
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$195.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $520.00
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$320.00.

Is betting on Al-Nassr Riyadh worth it?

🔴 Al-Nassr Riyadh: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 70.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.46. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 700 times – this would give you a profit of $322.00
  • And would lose other 300 times – having a loss of -$300.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$22.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Al Gharafa x Al-Nassr Riyadh

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Al Gharafa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Gharafa x Al-Nassr Riyadh

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Al Gharafa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 Al Gharafa.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 Al Gharafa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Gharafa x Al-Nassr Riyadh

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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