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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Al Jazira Al Hamra x Dibba Al Fujairah Betting tips for November 24 in UAE Division 1
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 UAE Division 1
Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra
PREDICTION Dibba Al Fujairah Wins Probability 55% 1 X 2
Dibba Al Fujairah Dibba Al Fujairah
ODD: @2.42 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Al Jazira Al Hamra x Dibba Al Fujairah Betting tips for November 24 in UAE Division 1

Our betting tip for Al Jazira Al Hamra x Dibba Al Fujairah, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
12:40
Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra
2.55
X
3.28
Dibba Al Fujairah Dibba Al Fujairah
2.42

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Al Jazira Al Hamra x Dibba Al Fujairah:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Dibba Al Fujairah wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Dibba Al Fujairah, you can win up to $1210.00!

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The main points for the tip for Al Jazira Al Hamra x Dibba Al Fujairah:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Al Jazira Al Hamra in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $113.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Dibba Al Fujairah in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-195.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Al Jazira Al Hamra did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Al Jazira Al Hamra scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Al Jazira Al Hamra is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Dibba Al Fujairah has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Al Jazira Al Hamra x Dibba Al Fujairah

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Summary

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Analysis from Al Jazira Al Hamra x Dibba Al Fujairah for the UAE Division 1 – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Al Jazira Al Hamra X Dibba Al Fujairah – UAE Division 1
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 12:40
๐Ÿ”ต Al Jazira Al Hamra – Winning probability: 19.39% | Fair line: 5.16
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.54% | Fair line: 3.91
๐Ÿ”ด Dibba Al Fujairah – Winning probability: 55.06% | Fair line: 1.82
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Al Jazira Al Hamra
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al Jazira Al Hamra x Dibba Al Fujairah right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Al Jazira Al Hamra x Dibba Al Fujairah

Should you bet on Al Jazira Al Hamra?

๐Ÿ”ต Al Jazira Al Hamra: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $294.50;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$515.50.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $592.80;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$147.20.

Is betting on Dibba Al Fujairah worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Dibba Al Fujairah: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 55.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $781.00;
  • And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$331.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Al Jazira Al Hamra x Dibba Al Fujairah

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Al Jazira Al Hamra
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Jazira Al Hamra x Dibba Al Fujairah

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Al Jazira Al Hamra and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Al Jazira Al Hamra.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Dibba Al Fujairah.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Jazira Al Hamra x Dibba Al Fujairah

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves