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Home » Predictions » Others » Al Kholood x Al Shabab Riyadh Betting tips for November 7 in Saudi Arabia Pro League
Thursday, 07 November 2024, 15h00 Saudi Arabia Pro League
Al Kholood Al Kholood
PREDICTION Al Shabab Riyadh Wins Probability 61% 1 X 2
Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh
ODD: @1.94 Don't miss this prediction!

Al Kholood x Al Shabab Riyadh Betting tips for November 7 in Saudi Arabia Pro League

Our betting tip for Al Kholood x Al Shabab Riyadh, Thursday, 7/11/2024
📅 7/11/2024
15:00
Al Kholood Al Kholood
3.65
X
3.48
Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh
1.94

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Al Kholood x Al Shabab Riyadh:

🔮 Al Shabab Riyadh wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Al Shabab Riyadh, you can win up to $970.00!

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The main points for the tip for Al Kholood x Al Shabab Riyadh:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Kholood in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Shabab Riyadh in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $458.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Al Kholood scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Al Kholood matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Al Kholood conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Al Kholood x Al Shabab Riyadh for the Saudi Arabia Pro League – 7 of November

🏟️ Al Kholood X Al Shabab Riyadh – Saudi Arabia Pro League
📅 7 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Al Kholood – Winning probability: 15.44% | Fair line: 6.48
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.38% | Fair line: 4.28
🔴 Al Shabab Riyadh – Winning probability: 61.18% | Fair line: 1.63
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Al Kholood
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al Kholood x Al Shabab Riyadh right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1217827 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Al Kholood x Al Shabab Riyadh

Is it worth betting on Al Kholood?

🔵 Al Kholood: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $397.50;
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$452.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $570.40;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$199.60.

Is it worth betting on Al Shabab Riyadh?

🔴 Al Shabab Riyadh: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 61.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.94. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 610 times – this would give you a profit of $573.40
  • And would lose other 390 times – losing -$390.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$183.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Al Kholood x Al Shabab Riyadh

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Al Kholood
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Kholood x Al Shabab Riyadh

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Al Kholood and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Al Kholood.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Kholood x Al Shabab Riyadh

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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