Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al Kholood Betting tips for March 14 in Saudi Arabia Pro League

Our betting tip for Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al Kholood, Friday, 14/3/2025

📅 14/3/2025 19:00

Al-Nassr Riyadh 1.19

X 6.75

Al Kholood 11.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al Kholood:

🔮 Al-Nassr Riyadh wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Al-Nassr Riyadh, you can win up to $595.00!

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Important information for your tip for Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al Kholood: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Al-Nassr Riyadh in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-98.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Kholood in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-110.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Al-Nassr Riyadh scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 Al-Nassr Riyadh matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Al Kholood conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Al Kholood as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al Kholood for the Saudi Arabia Pro League – 14 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al Kholood right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281036 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al Kholood

Is it a good idea to bet on Al-Nassr Riyadh?

🔵 Al-Nassr Riyadh: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 96.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.19. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 970 times – having a profit of $184.30;
• And would lose other 30 times – losing -$30.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$154.30.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $172.50
• And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$797.50.

Is it worth betting on Al Kholood?

🔴 Al Kholood: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 11.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $100.00
• And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$890.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al Kholood

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Al-Nassr Riyadh
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al Kholood

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Al-Nassr Riyadh, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.0 Al-Nassr Riyadh.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.0 Al Kholood.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al Kholood

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.