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Home » Predictions » Others » Al-Nassr Riyadh x Damac FC Betting tips for November 29 in Saudi Arabia Pro League
Friday, 29 November 2024, 14h40 Saudi Arabia Pro League
Al-Nassr Riyadh Al-Nassr Riyadh
PREDICTION Al-Nassr Riyadh wins Probability 91% 1 X 2
Damac FC Damac FC
ODD: @1.23 Don't miss this prediction!

Al-Nassr Riyadh x Damac FC Betting tips for November 29 in Saudi Arabia Pro League

Our betting tip for Al-Nassr Riyadh x Damac FC, Friday, 29/11/2024
📅 29/11/2024
14:40
Al-Nassr Riyadh Al-Nassr Riyadh
1.23
X
6.02
Damac FC Damac FC
9.62

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Al-Nassr Riyadh x Damac FC:

🔮 Al-Nassr Riyadh wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Al-Nassr Riyadh, you can win up to $615.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Al-Nassr Riyadh x Damac FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Al-Nassr Riyadh in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-255.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Damac FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-295.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Al-Nassr Riyadh scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Damac FC, Al-Nassr Riyadh scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Al-Nassr Riyadh x Damac FC, with Al-Nassr Riyadh as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Al-Nassr Riyadh conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Damac FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Al-Nassr Riyadh conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Damac FC.
👉 Al-Nassr Riyadh has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Damac FC playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Al-Nassr Riyadh x Damac FC for the Saudi Arabia Pro League – 29 of November

🏟️ Al-Nassr Riyadh X Damac FC – Saudi Arabia Pro League
📅 29 of November, 2024 – 14:40
🔵 Al-Nassr Riyadh – Winning probability: 91.67% | Fair line: 1.09
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 4.50% | Fair line: 22.2
🔴 Damac FC – Winning probability: 3.82% | Fair line: 26.17
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Al-Nassr Riyadh
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Al-Nassr Riyadh and Damac FC.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229376 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Al-Nassr Riyadh x Damac FC

Is betting on Al-Nassr Riyadh worth it?

🔵 Al-Nassr Riyadh: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 91.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.23. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 920 times – having a profit of $211.60;
  • And would have lost other 80 times – with a loss of -$80.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$131.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.02. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $251.00
  • And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$699.00.

Should you bet on Damac FC?

🔴 Damac FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 9.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – profiting $344.80;
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$615.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Al-Nassr Riyadh x Damac FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Al-Nassr Riyadh
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al-Nassr Riyadh x Damac FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Al-Nassr Riyadh and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 Al-Nassr Riyadh. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al-Nassr Riyadh x Damac FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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