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Home » Predictions » Others » Al Orubah x Al Shabab Riyadh Betting tips for October 24 in Saudi Arabia Pro League
Thursday, 24 October 2024, 15h15 Saudi Arabia Pro League
Al Orubah Al Orubah
PREDICTION Al Shabab Riyadh Wins Probability 57% 1 X 2
Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh
ODD: @1.9 Don't miss this prediction!

Al Orubah x Al Shabab Riyadh Betting tips for October 24 in Saudi Arabia Pro League

Our betting tip for Al Orubah x Al Shabab Riyadh, Thursday, 24/10/2024
📅 24/10/2024
15:15
Al Orubah Al Orubah
3.86
X
3.40
Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh
1.90

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Al Orubah x Al Shabab Riyadh:

🔮 Al Shabab Riyadh wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Al Shabab Riyadh, you can win up to $950.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Al Orubah x Al Shabab Riyadh:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Orubah in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $728.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Shabab Riyadh in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $263.0.
👉 Al Orubah did not concede a goal in the last 5 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Al Orubah scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Al Orubah matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Al Orubah is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Al Orubah x Al Shabab Riyadh for the Saudi Arabia Pro League – 24 of October

🏟️ Al Orubah X Al Shabab Riyadh – Saudi Arabia Pro League
📅 24 of October, 2024 – 15:15
🔵 Al Orubah – Winning probability: 16.00% | Fair line: 6.25
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.72% | Fair line: 3.74
🔴 Al Shabab Riyadh – Winning probability: 57.28% | Fair line: 1.75
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Al Orubah
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al Orubah x Al Shabab Riyadh right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1208023 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Al Orubah x Al Shabab Riyadh

Is betting on Al Orubah worth it?

🔵 Al Orubah: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.86. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $457.60;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$382.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $648.00;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$82.00.

Should you bet on Al Shabab Riyadh?

🔴 Al Shabab Riyadh: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – profiting $513.00;
  • And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$83.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Al Orubah x Al Shabab Riyadh

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Al Orubah
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Orubah x Al Shabab Riyadh

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Al Orubah and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Al Orubah. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Orubah x Al Shabab Riyadh

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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