Al Raed x Al Fateh SC Betting tips for October 26 in Saudi Arabia Pro League

Our betting tip for Al Raed x Al Fateh SC, Saturday, 26/10/2024

📅 26/10/2024 15:05

Al Raed 2.50

X 3.24

Al Fateh SC 2.65

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Al Raed x Al Fateh SC:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Al Raed x Al Fateh SC

Important information for your tip for Al Raed x Al Fateh SC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Raed in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Fateh SC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Al Fateh SC did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 3 Al Fateh SC matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Al Raed conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Al Fateh SC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Al Fateh SC as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Al Raed x Al Fateh SC?

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Analysis from Al Raed x Al Fateh SC for the Saudi Arabia Pro League – 26 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al Raed x Al Fateh SC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1209027 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Al Raed x Al Fateh SC

Is betting on Al Raed worth it?

🔵 Al Raed: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 380 times – profiting $570.00;
• And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$50.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.24. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $582.40;
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$157.60.

Should you bet on Al Fateh SC?

🔴 Al Fateh SC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $594.00
• And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$46.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Al Raed x Al Fateh SC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Al Raed
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Raed x Al Fateh SC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Al Raed and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Al Raed.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Al Raed.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Raed x Al Fateh SC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.