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Home » Predictions » Others » Al Raed x Al-Nassr Riyadh Betting tips for January 30 in Saudi Arabia Pro League
Thursday, 30 January 2025, 17h00 Saudi Arabia Pro League
Al Raed Al Raed
PREDICTION Al-Nassr Riyadh Wins Probability 99% 1 X 2
Al-Nassr Riyadh Al-Nassr Riyadh
ODD: @1.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Al Raed x Al-Nassr Riyadh Betting tips for January 30 in Saudi Arabia Pro League

Our betting tip for Al Raed x Al-Nassr Riyadh, Thursday, 30/1/2025
📅 30/1/2025
17:00
Al Raed Al Raed
11.00
X
6.65
Al-Nassr Riyadh Al-Nassr Riyadh
1.20

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Al Raed x Al-Nassr Riyadh:

🔮 Al-Nassr Riyadh wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Al-Nassr Riyadh, you can win up to $600.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Al Raed x Al-Nassr Riyadh:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Raed in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-285.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Al-Nassr Riyadh in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-93.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Al-Nassr Riyadh scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Al Raed matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Al Raed x Al-Nassr Riyadh, with Al Raed as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Al Raed conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Al-Nassr Riyadh conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Al Raed conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Al-Nassr Riyadh.
👉 Al-Nassr Riyadh is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 7 away matches, it had at least 61.00% of possession.
👉 Even as a visitor, Al-Nassr Riyadh won the last 5 head-to-head matches Al Raed´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from Al Raed x Al-Nassr Riyadh for the Saudi Arabia Pro League – 30 of January

🏟️ Al Raed X Al-Nassr Riyadh – Saudi Arabia Pro League
📅 30 of January, 2025 – 17:00
🔵 Al Raed – Winning probability: 0.18% | Fair line: 545.24
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.66% | Fair line: 151.77
🔴 Al-Nassr Riyadh – Winning probability: 99.16% | Fair line: 1.01
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.5 Al Raed
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al Raed x Al-Nassr Riyadh right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1253955 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Al Raed x Al-Nassr Riyadh

Is it worth betting on Al Raed?

🔵 Al Raed: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 11.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
  • And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $56.50;
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$933.50.

Is betting on Al-Nassr Riyadh worth it?

🔴 Al-Nassr Riyadh: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 99.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 990 times – profiting $198.00;
  • And would lose other 10 times – losing -$10.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$188.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Al Raed x Al-Nassr Riyadh

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.5 Al Raed
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Raed x Al-Nassr Riyadh

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +2.5 Al Raed, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.75 Al Raed.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 Al-Nassr Riyadh.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Raed x Al-Nassr Riyadh

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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