Al Shabab Riyadh x Al Fateh SC Betting tips for December 5 in Saudi Arabia Pro League

Our betting tip for Al Shabab Riyadh x Al Fateh SC, Thursday, 5/12/2024

📅 5/12/2024 17:00

Al Shabab Riyadh 1.50

X 4.31

Al Fateh SC 5.78

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Al Shabab Riyadh x Al Fateh SC:

🔮 Al Shabab Riyadh wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Al Shabab Riyadh, you can win up to $750.00!

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The main points for the tip for Al Shabab Riyadh x Al Fateh SC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Shabab Riyadh in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-5.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Fateh SC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Al Shabab Riyadh scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Al Fateh SC, Al Shabab Riyadh scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Al Shabab Riyadh matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Al Shabab Riyadh conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Al Fateh SC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Al Shabab Riyadh has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Al Fateh SC playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Al Fateh SC as away team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Al Shabab Riyadh x Al Fateh SC for the Saudi Arabia Pro League – 5 of December

When the best bet on Al Shabab Riyadh x Al Fateh SC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1232660 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Al Shabab Riyadh x Al Fateh SC

Is it worth betting on Al Shabab Riyadh?

🔵 Al Shabab Riyadh: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 84.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 840 times – having a profit of $420.00;
• And would lose other 160 times – having a loss of -$160.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$260.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.31. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $364.10;
• And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$525.90.

Is it a good idea to bet on Al Fateh SC?

🔴 Al Fateh SC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $191.20;
• And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$768.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Al Shabab Riyadh x Al Fateh SC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Al Shabab Riyadh
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Shabab Riyadh x Al Fateh SC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Al Shabab Riyadh and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Al Shabab Riyadh.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Al Shabab Riyadh.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Shabab Riyadh x Al Fateh SC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.