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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Al Talaba x Al Kahrabaa Betting tips for November 24 in Iraq League
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Iraq League
Al Talaba Al Talaba
PREDICTION No tip
Al Kahrabaa Al Kahrabaa
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Al Talaba x Al Kahrabaa Betting tips for November 24 in Iraq League

Our betting tip for Al Talaba x Al Kahrabaa, Friday, 24/11/2023
πŸ“… 24/11/2023
18:30
Al Talaba Al Talaba
2.30
X
3.01
Al Kahrabaa Al Kahrabaa
2.89

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Al Talaba x Al Kahrabaa:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Al Talaba x Al Kahrabaa

Important information for your tip for Al Talaba x Al Kahrabaa:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Al Talaba in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $41.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Al Kahrabaa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $35.0.

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Al Talaba x Al Kahrabaa

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Summary

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Analysis from Al Talaba x Al Kahrabaa for the Iraq League – 24 of November

🏟️ Al Talaba X Al Kahrabaa – Iraq League
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 18:30
πŸ”΅ Al Talaba – Winning probability: 31.22% | Fair line: 3.2
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.29% | Fair line: 2.92
πŸ”΄ Al Kahrabaa – Winning probability: 34.49% | Fair line: 2.9
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Al Talaba
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Al Talaba x Al Kahrabaa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Al Talaba x Al Kahrabaa

Is it a good idea to bet on Al Talaba?

πŸ”΅ Al Talaba: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $403.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$287.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.01. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $683.40;
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$23.40, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on Al Kahrabaa worth it?

πŸ”΄ Al Kahrabaa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.89. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $642.60;
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$17.40. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Al Talaba x Al Kahrabaa

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Al Talaba
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Talaba x Al Kahrabaa

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Al Talaba and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Al Talaba.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Al Kahrabaa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Talaba x Al Kahrabaa

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves