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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Alacranes de Durango x Mexicali FC Betting tips for November 25 in Mexico Segunda Division
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Mexico Segunda Division
Alacranes de Durango Alacranes de Durango
PREDICTION Alacranes de Durango wins Probability 1% 1 X 2
Mexicali FC Mexicali FC
ODD: @1.29 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Alacranes de Durango x Mexicali FC Betting tips for November 25 in Mexico Segunda Division

Our betting tip for Alacranes de Durango x Mexicali FC, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
02:00
Alacranes de Durango Alacranes de Durango
1.29
X
4.50
Mexicali FC Mexicali FC
9.80

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Alacranes de Durango x Mexicali FC:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Alacranes de Durango wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Alacranes de Durango, you can win up to $645.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Alacranes de Durango x Mexicali FC:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Alacranes de Durango in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $55.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Mexicali FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Mexicali FC did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Alacranes de Durango scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Mexicali FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Alacranes de Durango is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Mexicali FC as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Alacranes de Durango x Mexicali FC

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Summary

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Analysis from Alacranes de Durango x Mexicali FC for the Mexico Segunda Division – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Alacranes de Durango X Mexicali FC – Mexico Segunda Division
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 02:00
๐Ÿ”ต Alacranes de Durango – Winning probability: 87.92% | Fair line: 1.14
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.81% | Fair line: 9.25
๐Ÿ”ด Mexicali FC – Winning probability: 1.27% | Fair line: 78.69
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Alacranes de Durango
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Alacranes de Durango x Mexicali FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024961 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Alacranes de Durango x Mexicali FC

Is betting on Alacranes de Durango worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Alacranes de Durango: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 87.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.29. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 880 times – profiting $255.20;
  • And would lose other 120 times – losing -$120.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$135.20.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $385.00
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$505.00.

Is it worth betting on Mexicali FC?

๐Ÿ”ด Mexicali FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 9.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $88.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$902.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Alacranes de Durango x Mexicali FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Alacranes de Durango
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alacranes de Durango x Mexicali FC

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Alacranes de Durango, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Alacranes de Durango.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Mexicali FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alacranes de Durango x Mexicali FC

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves