Alajuelense x AD San Carlos Betting tips for March 28 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for Alajuelense x AD San Carlos, Friday, 28/3/2025

📅 28/3/2025
02:00

Alajuelense
1.39

X
4.03

AD San Carlos

7.24

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Alajuelense x AD San Carlos:

🔮 Alajuelense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Alajuelense, you can win up to $695.00!

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Important information for your tip for Alajuelense x AD San Carlos:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Alajuelense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-211.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AD San Carlos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against AD San Carlos, Alajuelense scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Alajuelense matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, AD San Carlos conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Alajuelense has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against AD San Carlos playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for AD San Carlos as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Summary

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Analysis from Alajuelense x AD San Carlos for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 28 of March

🏟️ Alajuelense X AD San Carlos – Costa Rica Primera Division
📅 28 of March, 2025 – 02:00
🔵 Alajuelense – Winning probability: 87.09% | Fair line: 1.15
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.50% | Fair line: 8.69
🔴 AD San Carlos – Winning probability: 1.41% | Fair line: 71.15
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Alajuelense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Alajuelense x AD San Carlos right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1290191 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Alajuelense x AD San Carlos

Is it worth betting on Alajuelense?

🔵 Alajuelense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 87.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.39. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would have hit 870 times – having a profit of $339.30;
And would lose other 130 times – losing -$130.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$209.30.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.03. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $363.60;
And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$516.40.

Is it worth betting on AD San Carlos?

🔴 AD San Carlos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.24. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $62.40
And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$927.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Alajuelense x AD San Carlos

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Alajuelense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alajuelense x AD San Carlos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Alajuelense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Alajuelense. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alajuelense x AD San Carlos

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.