Alajuelense x AD San Carlos Betting tips for October 27 in Costa Rica Primera Division
| 📅 27/10/2024 02:00 |
 Alajuelense1.51 |
X 4.05 |
AD San Carlos  5.10 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Alajuelense x AD San Carlos:
🔮 Alajuelense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Alajuelense, you can win up to $755.00!
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The main points for the tip for Alajuelense x AD San Carlos: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Alajuelense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-98.0. |
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Analysis from Alajuelense x AD San Carlos for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 27 of October
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🏟️ Alajuelense X AD San Carlos – Costa Rica Primera Division |
When the best bet on Alajuelense x AD San Carlos is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1208103 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Alajuelense x AD San Carlos
Is it worth betting on Alajuelense?
🔵 Alajuelense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 76.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.51. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 760 times – this would give you a profit of $387.60
- And would have lost other 240 times – with a loss of -$240.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$147.60.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $457.50;
- And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$392.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on AD San Carlos?
🔴 AD San Carlos: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $328.00
- And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$592.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Alajuelense x AD San Carlos
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Alajuelense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alajuelense x AD San Carlos
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Alajuelense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Alajuelense.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Alajuelense.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alajuelense x AD San Carlos
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.
