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Home » Predictions » Others » Alajuelense x Deportivo Saprissa Betting tips for December 21 in Costa Rica Primera Division
Sunday, 21 December 2025, 01h00 Costa Rica Primera Division
Alajuelense Alajuelense
PREDICTION No tip
Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa
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Alajuelense x Deportivo Saprissa Betting tips for December 21 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for Alajuelense x Deportivo Saprissa, Sunday, 21/12/2025
📅 21/12/2025
01:00
Alajuelense Alajuelense
2.10
X
2.90
Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa
3.37

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Alajuelense x Deportivo Saprissa:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Alajuelense x Deportivo Saprissa

Some important points for the tip for Alajuelense x Deportivo Saprissa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Alajuelense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-33.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Saprissa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $59.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Alajuelense scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Deportivo Saprissa, Alajuelense scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Alajuelense x Deportivo Saprissa, with Alajuelense as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Deportivo Saprissa has not lost any of them.
👉 Alajuelense has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Deportivo Saprissa playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Alajuelense x Deportivo Saprissa for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 21 of December

🏟️ Alajuelense X Deportivo Saprissa – Costa Rica Primera Division
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 01:00
🔵 Alajuelense – Winning probability: 46.58% | Fair line: 2.15
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.90% | Fair line: 3.46
🔴 Deportivo Saprissa – Winning probability: 24.53% | Fair line: 4.08
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Alajuelense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Alajuelense x Deportivo Saprissa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455188 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Alajuelense x Deportivo Saprissa

Is betting on Alajuelense worth it?

🔵 Alajuelense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $517.00;
  • And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$13.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $551.00
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$159.00.

Is betting on Deportivo Saprissa worth it?

🔴 Deportivo Saprissa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.37. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $592.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$157.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Alajuelense x Deportivo Saprissa

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Alajuelense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alajuelense x Deportivo Saprissa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Alajuelense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Alajuelense.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Deportivo Saprissa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alajuelense x Deportivo Saprissa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves