Alajuelense x Municipal Liberia Betting tips for December 14 in Costa Rica Primera Division
| 📅 14/12/2025 02:00 |
 Alajuelense1.75 |
X 3.25 |
Municipal Liberia  4.25 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Alajuelense x Municipal Liberia:
🔮 Alajuelense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Alajuelense, you can win up to $875.00!
The main points for the tip for Alajuelense x Municipal Liberia:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Alajuelense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-188.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Municipal Liberia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-347.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Municipal Liberia, Alajuelense scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Alajuelense matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Alajuelense has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Municipal Liberia playing at home.
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Alajuelense x Municipal Liberia?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Alajuelense x Municipal Liberia, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Alajuelense x Municipal Liberia for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 14 of December
🏟️ Alajuelense X Municipal Liberia – Costa Rica Primera Division
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 02:00
🔵 Alajuelense – Winning probability: 67.64% | Fair line: 1.48
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.85% | Fair line: 4.58
🔴 Municipal Liberia – Winning probability: 10.52% | Fair line: 9.51
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Alajuelense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Alajuelense x Municipal Liberia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452605 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Alajuelense x Municipal Liberia
Is it a good idea to bet on Alajuelense?
🔵 Alajuelense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 67.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 680 times – profiting $510.00;
- And would have lost other 320 times – with a loss of -$320.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$190.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 220 times – profiting $495.00;
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$285.00.
Is betting on Municipal Liberia worth it?
🔴 Municipal Liberia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $357.50;
- And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$532.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Alajuelense x Municipal Liberia
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Alajuelense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alajuelense x Municipal Liberia
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Alajuelense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Alajuelense.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Alajuelense.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alajuelense x Municipal Liberia
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
