Alanyaspor x Fatih Karagumruk Betting tips for December 21 in Türkiye Super Lig
| 📅 21/12/2025 11:30 |
 Alanyaspor1.70 |
X 3.75 |
Fatih Karagumruk  4.60 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Alanyaspor x Fatih Karagumruk:
🔮 Alanyaspor wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Alanyaspor, you can win up to $850.00!
Some important points for the tip for Alanyaspor x Fatih Karagumruk:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Alanyaspor in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-225.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fatih Karagumruk in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-352.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Fatih Karagumruk, Alanyaspor scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Alanyaspor x Fatih Karagumruk, with Alanyaspor as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Fatih Karagumruk conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Alanyaspor conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Fatih Karagumruk.
👉 Alanyaspor has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Fatih Karagumruk playing at home.
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Analysis from Alanyaspor x Fatih Karagumruk for the Türkiye Super Lig – 21 of December
🏟️ Alanyaspor X Fatih Karagumruk – Türkiye Super Lig
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 11:30
🔵 Alanyaspor – Winning probability: 74.02% | Fair line: 1.35
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.65% | Fair line: 6.82
🔴 Fatih Karagumruk – Winning probability: 11.32% | Fair line: 8.83
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Alanyaspor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Alanyaspor and Fatih Karagumruk.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455219 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Alanyaspor x Fatih Karagumruk
Is betting on Alanyaspor worth it?
🔵 Alanyaspor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 74.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 740 times – having a profit of $518.00;
- And would lose other 260 times – having a loss of -$260.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$258.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $412.50;
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$437.50.
Should you bet on Fatih Karagumruk?
🔴 Fatih Karagumruk: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $396.00;
- And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$494.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Alanyaspor x Fatih Karagumruk
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Alanyaspor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alanyaspor x Fatih Karagumruk
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Alanyaspor and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Alanyaspor.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alanyaspor x Fatih Karagumruk
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
