Alanyaspor x Fatih Karagumruk Betting tips for December 21 in Türkiye Super Lig
| 📅 21/12/2025 11:30 |
 Alanyaspor1.70 |
X 3.79 |
Fatih Karagumruk  4.60 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Alanyaspor x Fatih Karagumruk:
🔮 Alanyaspor wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Alanyaspor, you can win up to $850.00!
Important information for your tip for Alanyaspor x Fatih Karagumruk:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Alanyaspor in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-225.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fatih Karagumruk in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-352.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Fatih Karagumruk, Alanyaspor scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Alanyaspor x Fatih Karagumruk, with Alanyaspor as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Fatih Karagumruk conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Alanyaspor conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Fatih Karagumruk.
👉 Alanyaspor has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Fatih Karagumruk playing at home.
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Analysis from Alanyaspor x Fatih Karagumruk for the Türkiye Super Lig – 21 of December
🏟️ Alanyaspor X Fatih Karagumruk – Türkiye Super Lig
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 11:30
🔵 Alanyaspor – Winning probability: 78.73% | Fair line: 1.27
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.58% | Fair line: 7.37
🔴 Fatih Karagumruk – Winning probability: 7.70% | Fair line: 12.99
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Alanyaspor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Alanyaspor and Fatih Karagumruk.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455219 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Alanyaspor x Fatih Karagumruk
Should you bet on Alanyaspor?
🔵 Alanyaspor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 78.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 790 times – profiting $553.00;
- And would have lost other 210 times – with a loss of -$210.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$343.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.79. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $390.60
- And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$469.40.
Should you bet on Fatih Karagumruk?
🔴 Fatih Karagumruk: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $288.00;
- And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$632.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Alanyaspor x Fatih Karagumruk
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Alanyaspor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alanyaspor x Fatih Karagumruk
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Alanyaspor, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Alanyaspor.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Alanyaspor.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alanyaspor x Fatih Karagumruk
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
