Alaves B x Naxara Betting tips for December 14 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
| 📅 14/12/2025 11:00 |
 Alaves B1.55 |
X 3.47 |
Naxara  5.80 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Alaves B x Naxara:
🔮 Alaves B wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Alaves B, you can win up to $775.00!
Important information for your tip for Alaves B x Naxara:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Alaves B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-120.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Naxara in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Alaves B scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Naxara conceded at least 1 goal(s).
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Analysis from Alaves B x Naxara for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 – 14 of December
🏟️ Alaves B X Naxara – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 Alaves B – Winning probability: 81.75% | Fair line: 1.22
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.04% | Fair line: 7.12
🔴 Naxara – Winning probability: 4.21% | Fair line: 23.77
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Alaves B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Alaves B and Naxara.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452657 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Alaves B x Naxara
Is it worth betting on Alaves B?
🔵 Alaves B: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 81.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 820 times – having a profit of $451.00;
- And would lose other 180 times – losing -$180.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$271.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.47. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 140 times – profiting $345.80;
- And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$514.20.
Is it worth betting on Naxara?
🔴 Naxara: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $192.00
- And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$768.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Alaves B x Naxara
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Alaves B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alaves B x Naxara
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Alaves B and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Alaves B.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alaves B x Naxara
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
