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Home » Predictions » Others » Albacete x Eibar Betting tips for September 9 in Spain Segunda
Monday, 09 September 2024, 16h00 Spain Segunda
Albacete Albacete
PREDICTION Albacete wins Probability 50% 1 X 2
Eibar Eibar
ODD: @2.25 Don't miss this prediction!

Albacete x Eibar Betting tips for September 9 in Spain Segunda

Our betting tip for Albacete x Eibar, Monday, 9/9/2024
📅 9/9/2024
16:00
Albacete Albacete
2.25
X
3.18
Eibar Eibar
3.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Albacete x Eibar:

🔮 Albacete wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Albacete, you can win up to $1125.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Albacete x Eibar:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Albacete in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-17.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Eibar in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-230.0.

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Summary

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Analysis from Albacete x Eibar for the Spain Segunda – 9 of September

🏟️ Albacete X Eibar – Spain Segunda
📅 9 of September, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Albacete – Winning probability: 50.62% | Fair line: 1.98
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.42% | Fair line: 4.46
🔴 Eibar – Winning probability: 26.97% | Fair line: 3.71
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Albacete
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Albacete x Eibar right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1175892 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Albacete x Eibar

Is it a good idea to bet on Albacete?

🔵 Albacete: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $637.50
  • And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$147.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.18. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $479.60
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$300.40.

Is it worth betting on Eibar?

🔴 Eibar: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $594.00
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$136.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Albacete x Eibar

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Albacete
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Albacete x Eibar

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Albacete, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Albacete.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Eibar.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Albacete x Eibar

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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