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Home » Predictions » Others » Albinoleffe x Lecco Betting tips for November 30 in Italy Serie C Group A
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 14h00 Italy Serie C Group A
Albinoleffe Albinoleffe
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 39% 1 X 2
Lecco Lecco
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

Albinoleffe x Lecco Betting tips for November 30 in Italy Serie C Group A

Our betting tip for Albinoleffe x Lecco, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
14:00
Albinoleffe Albinoleffe
2.30
X
3.00
Lecco Lecco
2.88

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Albinoleffe x Lecco:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Albinoleffe x Lecco:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Albinoleffe in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lecco in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Lecco, Albinoleffe scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Albinoleffe matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Lecco conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Albinoleffe conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Lecco.
👉 Albinoleffe has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Lecco playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Lecco as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Albinoleffe x Lecco?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Albinoleffe x Lecco:

Analysis from Albinoleffe x Lecco for the Italy Serie C Group A – 30 of November

🏟️ Albinoleffe X Lecco – Italy Serie C Group A
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Albinoleffe – Winning probability: 29.29% | Fair line: 3.41
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 39.58% | Fair line: 2.53
🔴 Lecco – Winning probability: 31.13% | Fair line: 3.21
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Albinoleffe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Albinoleffe x Lecco is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Albinoleffe x Lecco

Is it a good idea to bet on Albinoleffe?

🔵 Albinoleffe: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $377.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$333.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $800.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$200.00.

Should you bet on Lecco?

🔴 Lecco: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $582.80;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$107.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Albinoleffe x Lecco

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Albinoleffe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Albinoleffe x Lecco

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Albinoleffe, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Albinoleffe.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Albinoleffe x Lecco

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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