Alcains x AC Marinhense Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Alcains x AC Marinhense, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 15:00

Alcains 2.50

X 2.88

AC Marinhense 2.72

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Alcains x AC Marinhense:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Alcains x AC Marinhense

The main points for the tip for Alcains x AC Marinhense: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Alcains in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on AC Marinhense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-110.0. 👉 AC Marinhense did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 3 AC Marinhense matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Alcains x AC Marinhense?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Alcains x AC Marinhense, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Alcains x AC Marinhense for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 30 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Alcains and AC Marinhense.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Alcains x AC Marinhense

Is betting on Alcains worth it?

🔵 Alcains: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $525.00;
• And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$125.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 360 times – profiting $676.80;
• And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$36.80 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on AC Marinhense?

🔴 AC Marinhense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $498.80;
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$211.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Alcains x AC Marinhense

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Alcains
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alcains x AC Marinhense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Alcains, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Alcains. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alcains x AC Marinhense

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.