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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Alcudia x Felanitx Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 11
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Spain Tercera Group 11
Alcudia Alcudia
PREDICTION No tip
Felanitx Felanitx
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Alcudia x Felanitx Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 11

Our betting tip for Alcudia x Felanitx, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
16:00
Alcudia Alcudia
1.92
X
3.20
Felanitx Felanitx
3.62

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Alcudia x Felanitx:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Alcudia x Felanitx

Important information for your tip for Alcudia x Felanitx:

πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Alcudia scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Felanitx, Alcudia scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Alcudia matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Alcudia conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Alcudia conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Felanitx.
πŸ‘‰ Alcudia has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Felanitx playing at home.

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Alcudia x Felanitx

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Alcudia x Felanitx?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Alcudia x Felanitx, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Alcudia x Felanitx for the Spain Tercera Group 11 – 25 of November

🏟️ Alcudia X Felanitx – Spain Tercera Group 11
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 16:00
πŸ”΅ Alcudia – Winning probability: 46.03% | Fair line: 2.17
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.96% | Fair line: 3.45
πŸ”΄ Felanitx – Winning probability: 25.01% | Fair line: 4.0
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Alcudia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Alcudia and Felanitx.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Alcudia x Felanitx

Is it a good idea to bet on Alcudia?

πŸ”΅ Alcudia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 46.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.92. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $423.20;
  • And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$116.80.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $638.00
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$72.00.

Should you bet on Felanitx?

πŸ”΄ Felanitx: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $655.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$95.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Alcudia x Felanitx

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Alcudia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alcudia x Felanitx

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Alcudia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Alcudia.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Felanitx.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alcudia x Felanitx

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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