Aldershot x Halifax Betting tips for November 25 in England National League

Our betting tip for Aldershot x Halifax, Saturday, 25/11/2023

📅 25/11/2023 15:00

Aldershot 2.20

X 3.40

Halifax 2.86

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Aldershot x Halifax:

🔮 Halifax wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Halifax, you can win up to $1430.00!

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The main points for the tip for Aldershot x Halifax: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Aldershot in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $573.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Halifax in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $95.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Aldershot scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Halifax matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Aldershot conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Halifax. 👉 Aldershot is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Aldershot x Halifax

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Analysis from Aldershot x Halifax for the England National League – 25 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Aldershot and Halifax.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Aldershot x Halifax

Should you bet on Aldershot?

🔵 Aldershot: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 440 times – profiting $528.00;
• And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$32.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $576.00
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$184.00.

Is it worth betting on Halifax?

🔴 Halifax: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $576.60;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$113.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Aldershot x Halifax

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Aldershot
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aldershot x Halifax

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Aldershot, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Aldershot.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aldershot x Halifax

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.