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Home » Predictions » Others » Alfreton Town x South Shields Betting tips for November 26 in England National League North
Tuesday, 26 November 2024, 19h45 England National League North
Alfreton Town Alfreton Town
PREDICTION Alfreton Town wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
South Shields South Shields
ODD: @1.74 Don't miss this prediction!

Alfreton Town x South Shields Betting tips for November 26 in England National League North

Our betting tip for Alfreton Town x South Shields, Tuesday, 26/11/2024
📅 26/11/2024
19:45
Alfreton Town Alfreton Town
1.74
X
3.55
South Shields South Shields
4.12

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Alfreton Town x South Shields:

🔮 Alfreton Town wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Alfreton Town, you can win up to $870.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Alfreton Town x South Shields:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Alfreton Town in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $242.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on South Shields in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-250.0.
👉 In the last 3 South Shields matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Alfreton Town x South Shields?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Alfreton Town x South Shields for the England National League North – 26 of November

🏟️ Alfreton Town X South Shields – England National League North
📅 26 of November, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Alfreton Town – Winning probability: 63.65% | Fair line: 1.57
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.84% | Fair line: 4.19
🔴 South Shields – Winning probability: 12.51% | Fair line: 7.99
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Alfreton Town
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Alfreton Town and South Shields.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1227868 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Alfreton Town x South Shields

Is betting on Alfreton Town worth it?

🔵 Alfreton Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 63.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.74. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 640 times – having a profit of $473.60;
  • And would lose other 360 times – having a loss of -$360.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$113.60.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $612.00;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$148.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on South Shields?

🔴 South Shields: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $405.60;
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$464.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Alfreton Town x South Shields

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Alfreton Town
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alfreton Town x South Shields

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Alfreton Town, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Alfreton Town.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Alfreton Town.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alfreton Town x South Shields

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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