Algeciras CF x Villarreal B Betting tips for December 19 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for Algeciras CF x Villarreal B, Friday, 19/12/2025

📅 19/12/2025 18:00

Algeciras CF 2.30

X 2.97

Villarreal B 3.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Algeciras CF x Villarreal B:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Algeciras CF x Villarreal B

The main points for the tip for Algeciras CF x Villarreal B:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Algeciras CF in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $420.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Villarreal B in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $310.0.
👉 Algeciras CF did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Algeciras CF scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Algeciras CF is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from Algeciras CF x Villarreal B for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 – 19 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Algeciras CF x Villarreal B right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1454884 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Algeciras CF x Villarreal B

Is it a good idea to bet on Algeciras CF?

🔵 Algeciras CF: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $546.00;
• And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$34.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.97. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $571.30;
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$138.70.

Should you bet on Villarreal B?

🔴 Villarreal B: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $580.00;
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$130.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Algeciras CF x Villarreal B

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Algeciras CF
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Algeciras CF x Villarreal B

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Algeciras CF and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Algeciras CF.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Algeciras CF.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Algeciras CF x Villarreal B

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.