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Home » Predictions » Others » Alianza FC x CD Aguila Betting tips for December 10 in El Salvador Apertura
Sunday, 10 December 2023, 21h00 El Salvador Apertura
Alianza FC Alianza FC
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 39% 1 X 2
CD Aguila CD Aguila
ODD: @2.86 Don't miss this prediction!

Alianza FC x CD Aguila Betting tips for December 10 in El Salvador Apertura

Our betting tip for Alianza FC x CD Aguila, Sunday, 10/12/2023
📅 10/12/2023
21:00
Alianza FC Alianza FC
2.60
X
2.86
CD Aguila CD Aguila
2.64

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Alianza FC x CD Aguila:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1430.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Alianza FC x CD Aguila:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Alianza FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-333.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Aguila in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-15.0.
👉 In the last 5 CD Aguila matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Alianza FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against CD Aguila.

📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Alianza FC x CD Aguila

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Alianza FC x CD Aguila for the El Salvador Apertura – 10 of December

🏟️ Alianza FC X CD Aguila – El Salvador Apertura
📅 10 of December, 2023 – 21:00
🔵 Alianza FC – Winning probability: 25.14% | Fair line: 3.98
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 39.36% | Fair line: 2.54
🔴 CD Aguila – Winning probability: 35.50% | Fair line: 2.82
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Alianza FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Alianza FC x CD Aguila right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1032200 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Alianza FC x CD Aguila

Is it worth betting on Alianza FC?

🔵 Alianza FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $400.00
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$350.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.86. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $725.40;
  • And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$115.40.

Should you bet on CD Aguila?

🔴 CD Aguila: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.64. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $574.00
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$76.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Alianza FC x CD Aguila

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Alianza FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alianza FC x CD Aguila

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Alianza FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Alianza FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Alianza FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alianza FC x CD Aguila

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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