Alianza FC x CD Aguila Betting tips for December 10 in El Salvador Apertura
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10/12/2023 21:00 |
 Alianza FC2.60 |
X 2.86 |
CD Aguila  2.64 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Alianza FC x CD Aguila:
๐ฎ Tied Match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1430.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Alianza FC x CD Aguila: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Alianza FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-333.0. |
๐ You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Alianza FC x CD Aguila
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Analysis from Alianza FC x CD Aguila for the El Salvador Apertura – 10 of December
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๐๏ธ Alianza FC X CD Aguila – El Salvador Apertura |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Alianza FC x CD Aguila right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1032200 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Alianza FC x CD Aguila
Is it worth betting on Alianza FC?
๐ต Alianza FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $400.00
- And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$350.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.86. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $725.40;
- And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$115.40.
Should you bet on CD Aguila?
๐ด CD Aguila: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.64. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $574.00
- And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$76.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Alianza FC x CD Aguila
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Alianza FC
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alianza FC x CD Aguila
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Alianza FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Alianza FC.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Alianza FC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alianza FC x CD Aguila
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
