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Home » Predictions » Others » Alianza FC x CD Platense Zacatecoluca Betting tips for November 30 in El Salvador Apertura
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 21h15 El Salvador Apertura
Alianza FC Alianza FC
PREDICTION Alianza FC wins Probability 79% 1 X 2
CD Platense Zacatecoluca CD Platense Zacatecoluca
ODD: @1.37 Don't miss this prediction!

Alianza FC x CD Platense Zacatecoluca Betting tips for November 30 in El Salvador Apertura

Our betting tip for Alianza FC x CD Platense Zacatecoluca, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
21:15
Alianza FC Alianza FC
1.37
X
4.14
CD Platense Zacatecoluca CD Platense Zacatecoluca
6.84

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Alianza FC x CD Platense Zacatecoluca:

🔮 Alianza FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Alianza FC, you can win up to $685.00!

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Important information for your tip for Alianza FC x CD Platense Zacatecoluca:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Alianza FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-28.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Platense Zacatecoluca in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Alianza FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Alianza FC x CD Platense Zacatecoluca, with Alianza FC as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, CD Platense Zacatecoluca conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Alianza FC has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against CD Platense Zacatecoluca playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Alianza FC x CD Platense Zacatecoluca for the El Salvador Apertura – 30 of November

🏟️ Alianza FC X CD Platense Zacatecoluca – El Salvador Apertura
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 21:15
🔵 Alianza FC – Winning probability: 79.49% | Fair line: 1.26
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.95% | Fair line: 6.27
🔴 CD Platense Zacatecoluca – Winning probability: 4.56% | Fair line: 21.94
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Alianza FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Alianza FC and CD Platense Zacatecoluca.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230061 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Alianza FC x CD Platense Zacatecoluca

Is it a good idea to bet on Alianza FC?

🔵 Alianza FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 79.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.37. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 790 times – profiting $292.30;
  • And would have lost other 210 times – with a loss of -$210.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$82.30.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $502.40;
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$337.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on CD Platense Zacatecoluca?

🔴 CD Platense Zacatecoluca: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.84. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $292.00
  • And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$658.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Alianza FC x CD Platense Zacatecoluca

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Alianza FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alianza FC x CD Platense Zacatecoluca

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Alianza FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Alianza FC.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alianza FC x CD Platense Zacatecoluca

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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