Alianza FC Panama x San Francisco FC Betting tips for September 20 in Panama LPF

Our betting tip for Alianza FC Panama x San Francisco FC, Friday, 20/9/2024

📅 20/9/2024 22:30

Alianza FC Panama 2.04

X 3.00

San Francisco FC 3.52

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Alianza FC Panama x San Francisco FC:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Alianza FC Panama x San Francisco FC

The main points for the tip for Alianza FC Panama x San Francisco FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Alianza FC Panama in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $200.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on San Francisco FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Alianza FC Panama did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Alianza FC Panama scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Alianza FC Panama matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, San Francisco FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Alianza FC Panama is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Alianza FC Panama has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against San Francisco FC playing at home.

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Analysis from Alianza FC Panama x San Francisco FC for the Panama LPF – 20 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Alianza FC Panama and San Francisco FC.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1184423 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Alianza FC Panama x San Francisco FC

Should you bet on Alianza FC Panama?

🔵 Alianza FC Panama: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.04. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $468.00;
• And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$82.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $640.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$40.00.

Is it worth betting on San Francisco FC?

🔴 San Francisco FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.52. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $579.60
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$190.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Alianza FC Panama x San Francisco FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Alianza FC Panama
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alianza FC Panama x San Francisco FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Alianza FC Panama, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Alianza FC Panama.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Alianza FC Panama.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alianza FC Panama x San Francisco FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.