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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Alianza FC Reserves x Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Betting tips for November 23 in Panama Liga Prom
Thursday, 23 November 2023, 00h00 Panama Liga Prom
Alianza FC Reserves Alianza FC Reserves
PREDICTION Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
ODD: @1.83 Don't miss this prediction!

Alianza FC Reserves x Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Betting tips for November 23 in Panama Liga Prom

Our betting tip for Alianza FC Reserves x Sporting San Miguelito Reserves, Thursday, 23/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 23/11/2023
22:00
Alianza FC Reserves Alianza FC Reserves
3.64
X
3.40
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
1.83

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Alianza FC Reserves x Sporting San Miguelito Reserves:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Sporting San Miguelito Reserves wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sporting San Miguelito Reserves, you can win up to $915.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Alianza FC Reserves x Sporting San Miguelito Reserves:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Alianza FC Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $72.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sporting San Miguelito Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $192.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Sporting San Miguelito Reserves scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Alianza FC Reserves conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Sporting San Miguelito Reserves.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Sporting San Miguelito Reserves has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Alianza FC Reserves x Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Alianza FC Reserves x Sporting San Miguelito Reserves?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Alianza FC Reserves x Sporting San Miguelito Reserves, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Alianza FC Reserves x Sporting San Miguelito Reserves for the Panama Liga Prom – 23 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Alianza FC Reserves X Sporting San Miguelito Reserves – Panama Liga Prom
๐Ÿ“… 23 of November, 2023 – 22:00
๐Ÿ”ต Alianza FC Reserves – Winning probability: 9.17% | Fair line: 10.9
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.80% | Fair line: 3.88
๐Ÿ”ด Sporting San Miguelito Reserves – Winning probability: 65.02% | Fair line: 1.54
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Alianza FC Reserves
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Alianza FC Reserves x Sporting San Miguelito Reserves is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024927 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Alianza FC Reserves x Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

Is it a good idea to bet on Alianza FC Reserves?

๐Ÿ”ต Alianza FC Reserves: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.64. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $237.60;
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$672.40.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$116.00.

Should you bet on Sporting San Miguelito Reserves?

๐Ÿ”ด Sporting San Miguelito Reserves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 65.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.83. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 650 times – having a profit of $539.50;
  • And would lose other 350 times – losing -$350.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$189.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Alianza FC Reserves x Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Alianza FC Reserves
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alianza FC Reserves x Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Alianza FC Reserves and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Alianza FC Reserves.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Alianza FC Reserves.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alianza FC Reserves x Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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