Almeria B x Melilla Betting tips for December 14 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
| 📅 14/12/2025 11:00 |
Almeria B2.61 |
X 2.94 |
Melilla ![]() 2.68 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Almeria B x Melilla:
👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Almeria B x Melilla
The main points for the tip for Almeria B x Melilla:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Almeria B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-93.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Melilla in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Melilla, Almeria B scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Almeria B conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Melilla.
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Analysis from Almeria B x Melilla for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 – 14 of December
🏟️ Almeria B X Melilla – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 Almeria B – Winning probability: 29.53% | Fair line: 3.39
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.94% | Fair line: 3.46
🔴 Melilla – Winning probability: 41.53% | Fair line: 2.41
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Almeria B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks
When the best bet on Almeria B x Melilla is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452657 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Almeria B x Melilla
Is betting on Almeria B worth it?
🔵 Almeria B: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.61. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – profiting $483.00;
- And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$217.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.94. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $562.60;
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$147.40.
Should you bet on Melilla?
🔴 Melilla: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.68. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $705.60
- And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$125.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Almeria B x Melilla
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Almeria B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Almeria B x Melilla
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Almeria B, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Almeria B.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Almeria B x Melilla
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Almeria B