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Home » Predictions » Others » Almeria x Cordoba Betting tips for November 26 in Spain Segunda
Tuesday, 26 November 2024, 19h30 Spain Segunda
Almeria Almeria
PREDICTION Cordoba Wins Probability 26% 1 X 2
Cordoba Cordoba
ODD: @4.41 Don't miss this prediction!

Almeria x Cordoba Betting tips for November 26 in Spain Segunda

Our betting tip for Almeria x Cordoba, Tuesday, 26/11/2024
📅 26/11/2024
19:30
Almeria Almeria
1.66
X
3.80
Cordoba Cordoba
4.41

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Almeria x Cordoba:

🔮 Cordoba wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cordoba, you can win up to $2205.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Almeria x Cordoba:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Almeria in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $12.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cordoba in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Almeria scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Cordoba, Almeria scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Cordoba matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Cordoba conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Almeria is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Almeria x Cordoba for the Spain Segunda – 26 of November

🏟️ Almeria X Cordoba – Spain Segunda
📅 26 of November, 2024 – 19:30
🔵 Almeria – Winning probability: 56.17% | Fair line: 1.78
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.24% | Fair line: 5.8
🔴 Cordoba – Winning probability: 26.59% | Fair line: 3.76
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Almeria
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Almeria and Cordoba.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1227868 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Almeria x Cordoba

Is it a good idea to bet on Almeria?

🔵 Almeria: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 56.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.66. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 560 times – profiting $369.60;
  • And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$70.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $476.00;
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$354.00.

Is betting on Cordoba worth it?

🔴 Cordoba: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.41. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $920.70;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$190.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Almeria x Cordoba

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Almeria
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Almeria x Cordoba

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Almeria, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Almeria.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Almeria.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Almeria x Cordoba

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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