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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Alondras x Polvorin Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 1
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 15h30 Spain Tercera Group 1
Alondras Alondras
PREDICTION No tip
Polvorin Polvorin
Don't miss this prediction!

Alondras x Polvorin Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 1

Our betting tip for Alondras x Polvorin, Sunday, 1/12/2024
πŸ“… 1/12/2024
15:30
Alondras Alondras
2.37
X
3.00
Polvorin Polvorin
2.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Alondras x Polvorin:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Alondras x Polvorin

The main points for the tip for Alondras x Polvorin:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Alondras in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $5.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Polvorin in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-210.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Polvorin scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Polvorin conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Alondras x Polvorin?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Alondras x Polvorin, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Alondras x Polvorin for the Spain Tercera Group 1 – 1 of December

🏟️ Alondras X Polvorin – Spain Tercera Group 1
πŸ“… 1 of December, 2024 – 15:30
πŸ”΅ Alondras – Winning probability: 38.28% | Fair line: 2.61
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.61% | Fair line: 2.89
πŸ”΄ Polvorin – Winning probability: 27.10% | Fair line: 3.69
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Alondras
⚽ Expected goals: 1.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Alondras x Polvorin is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Alondras x Polvorin

Should you bet on Alondras?

πŸ”΅ Alondras: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.37. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $520.60
  • And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$99.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $700.00;
  • And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$50.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on Polvorin worth it?

πŸ”΄ Polvorin: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $486.00;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$244.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Alondras x Polvorin

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Alondras
⚽ Expected goals: 1.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alondras x Polvorin

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Alondras and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Alondras.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Alondras.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alondras x Polvorin

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 1.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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