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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Alvechurch x Kettering Betting tips for November 25 in England Southern Premier League Central
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England Southern Premier League Central
Alvechurch Alvechurch
PREDICTION No tip
Kettering Kettering
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Alvechurch x Kettering Betting tips for November 25 in England Southern Premier League Central

Our betting tip for Alvechurch x Kettering, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Alvechurch Alvechurch
2.00
X
3.75
Kettering Kettering
2.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Alvechurch x Kettering:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Alvechurch x Kettering

Important information for your tip for Alvechurch x Kettering:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Alvechurch in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $62.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Kettering in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $113.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Kettering scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Kettering matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Kettering conceded at least 2 goal(s).

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Alvechurch x Kettering

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Alvechurch x Kettering?

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Analysis from Alvechurch x Kettering for the England Southern Premier League Central – 25 of November

🏟️ Alvechurch X Kettering – England Southern Premier League Central
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Alvechurch – Winning probability: 37.93% | Fair line: 2.64
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.56% | Fair line: 4.43
πŸ”΄ Kettering – Winning probability: 39.51% | Fair line: 2.53
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Alvechurch
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Alvechurch x Kettering is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Alvechurch x Kettering

Is betting on Alvechurch worth it?

πŸ”΅ Alvechurch: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $380.00
  • And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$240.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $632.50
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$137.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Kettering?

πŸ”΄ Kettering: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $720.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$120.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Alvechurch x Kettering

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Alvechurch
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alvechurch x Kettering

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Alvechurch, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Alvechurch.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Alvechurch.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alvechurch x Kettering

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves