Alverca x Vizela Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Segunda Liga

Our betting tip for Alverca x Vizela, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 18:00

Alverca 2.60

X 3.15

Vizela 2.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Alverca x Vizela:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Alverca x Vizela

Some important points for the tip for Alverca x Vizela: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Alverca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-161.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Vizela in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-125.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Alverca scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Vizela matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Vizela has not lost any of them.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Alverca x Vizela?

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Analysis from Alverca x Vizela for the Portugal Segunda Liga – 30 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Alverca x Vizela right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Alverca x Vizela

Is it a good idea to bet on Alverca?

🔵 Alverca: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $448.00
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$272.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $688.00
• And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$8.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on Vizela?

🔴 Vizela: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 400 times – profiting $600.00;
• And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$0.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match Alverca x Vizela

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Alverca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alverca x Vizela

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Alverca and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Alverca.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Alverca.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alverca x Vizela

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.