Amarante x AD Marco 09 Betting tips for December 14 in Portugal Liga 3
| π
14/12/2025 15:00 |
 Amarante2.22 |
X 2.85 |
AD Marco 09  3.25 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Amarante x AD Marco 09:
π Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Amarante x AD Marco 09
The main points for the tip for Amarante x AD Marco 09:
π If you had bet $100 on Amarante in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $10.0.
π If you had bet $100 on AD Marco 09 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-262.0.
π In the last 5 matches as the home team, Amarante scored at least 1 goal(s).
π In the last 3 matches as the away team, AD Marco 09 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
π It is not a good time for AD Marco 09 as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.
Looking for another bookie to bet on Amarante x AD Marco 09?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Amarante x AD Marco 09, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Amarante x AD Marco 09 for the Portugal Liga 3 – 14 of December
ποΈ Amarante X AD Marco 09 – Portugal Liga 3
π
14 of December, 2025 – 15:00
π΅ Amarante – Winning probability: 45.92% | Fair line: 2.18
βͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.52% | Fair line: 3.28
π΄ AD Marco 09 – Winning probability: 23.56% | Fair line: 4.24
β Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Amarante
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Amarante and AD Marco 09.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452605 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Amarante x AD Marco 09
Is betting on Amarante worth it?
π΅ Amarante: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $561.20;
- And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$21.20.
Is it worth betting on draw?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 310 times – profiting $573.50;
- And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$116.50.
Is it worth betting on AD Marco 09?
π΄ AD Marco 09: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – profiting $540.00;
- And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$220.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Amarante x AD Marco 09
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Amarante
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Amarante x AD Marco 09
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Amarante and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Amarante.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Amarante x AD Marco 09
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
