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Home » Predictions » Others » Amazonas FC x America MG Betting tips for November 5 in Brazil Serie B
Tuesday, 05 November 2024, 22h00 Brazil Serie B
Amazonas FC Amazonas FC
PREDICTION No tip
America MG America MG
Don't miss this prediction!

Amazonas FC x America MG Betting tips for November 5 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Amazonas FC x America MG, Tuesday, 5/11/2024
📅 5/11/2024
22:00
Amazonas FC Amazonas FC
2.76
X
2.90
America MG America MG
2.56

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Amazonas FC x America MG:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Amazonas FC x America MG

Important information for your tip for Amazonas FC x America MG:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Amazonas FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $150.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on America MG in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-295.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, America MG conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Amazonas FC x America MG for the Brazil Serie B – 5 of November

🏟️ Amazonas FC X America MG – Brazil Serie B
📅 5 of November, 2024 – 22:00
🔵 Amazonas FC – Winning probability: 29.07% | Fair line: 3.44
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.81% | Fair line: 2.96
🔴 America MG – Winning probability: 37.12% | Fair line: 2.69
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Amazonas FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Amazonas FC x America MG right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1216284 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Amazonas FC x America MG

Is betting on Amazonas FC worth it?

🔵 Amazonas FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.76. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $510.40
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$199.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $646.00;
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$14.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on America MG?

🔴 America MG: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.56. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $577.20
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$52.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Amazonas FC x America MG

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Amazonas FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Amazonas FC x America MG

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Amazonas FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Amazonas FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Amazonas FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Amazonas FC x America MG

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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