Amazulu x Mamelodi Sundowns Betting tips for December 24 in South Africa Premier
| 📅 24/12/2024 13:00 |
 Amazulu6.20 |
X 3.78 |
Mamelodi Sundowns  1.49 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Amazulu x Mamelodi Sundowns:
🔮 Mamelodi Sundowns wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mamelodi Sundowns, you can win up to $745.00!
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The main points for the tip for Amazulu x Mamelodi Sundowns: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Amazulu in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-18.0. |
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Analysis from Amazulu x Mamelodi Sundowns for the South Africa Premier – 24 of December
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🏟️ Amazulu X Mamelodi Sundowns – South Africa Premier |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Amazulu and Mamelodi Sundowns.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1239435 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Amazulu x Mamelodi Sundowns
Is it worth betting on Amazulu?
🔵 Amazulu: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $208.00;
- And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$752.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $389.20
- And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$470.80.
Is betting on Mamelodi Sundowns worth it?
🔴 Mamelodi Sundowns: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 82.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.49. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 820 times – profiting $401.80;
- And would lose other 180 times – having a loss of -$180.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$221.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Amazulu x Mamelodi Sundowns
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Amazulu
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Amazulu x Mamelodi Sundowns
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.25 Amazulu and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Amazulu.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Mamelodi Sundowns.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Amazulu x Mamelodi Sundowns
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
