America de Cali x Atletico Nacional Medellin Betting tips for November 30 in Colombia Primera A
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30/11/2023 23:15 |
 America de Cali1.67 |
X 3.68 |
Atletico Nacional Medellin  4.62 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for America de Cali x Atletico Nacional Medellin:
๐ฎ Atletico Nacional Medellin wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Nacional Medellin, you can win up to $2310.00!
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Important information for your tip for America de Cali x Atletico Nacional Medellin: ๐ If you had bet $100 on America de Cali in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $14.0. |
๐ You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for America de Cali x Atletico Nacional Medellin
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Analysis from America de Cali x Atletico Nacional Medellin for the Colombia Primera A – 30 of November
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๐๏ธ America de Cali X Atletico Nacional Medellin – Colombia Primera A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for America de Cali x Atletico Nacional Medellin right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1028523 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for America de Cali x Atletico Nacional Medellin
Is it a good idea to bet on America de Cali?
๐ต America de Cali: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.67. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 560 times – profiting $375.20;
- And would have lost other 440 times – with a loss of -$440.00 because of them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just ๐ฐ$64.80. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $482.40;
- And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$337.60.
Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Nacional Medellin?
๐ด Atletico Nacional Medellin: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $941.20;
- And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$201.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match America de Cali x Atletico Nacional Medellin
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 America de Cali
โฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for America de Cali x Atletico Nacional Medellin
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 America de Cali and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 America de Cali.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for America de Cali x Atletico Nacional Medellin
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
