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Home » Predictions » Others » America de Cali x Independiente Santa Fe Betting tips for November 12 in Colombia Primera A
Tuesday, 12 November 2024, 01h30 Colombia Primera A
America de Cali America de Cali
PREDICTION Independiente Santa Fe Wins Probability 19% 1 X 2
Independiente Santa Fe Independiente Santa Fe
ODD: @4.1 Don't miss this prediction!

America de Cali x Independiente Santa Fe Betting tips for November 12 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for America de Cali x Independiente Santa Fe, Tuesday, 12/11/2024
📅 12/11/2024
01:30
America de Cali America de Cali
1.95
X
3.10
Independiente Santa Fe Independiente Santa Fe
4.10

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for America de Cali x Independiente Santa Fe:

🔮 Independiente Santa Fe wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Independiente Santa Fe, you can win up to $2050.00!

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Some important points for the tip for America de Cali x Independiente Santa Fe:

👉 If you had bet $100 on America de Cali in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $56.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Santa Fe in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $25.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Independiente Santa Fe, America de Cali scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 America de Cali matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Independiente Santa Fe has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on America de Cali x Independiente Santa Fe?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on America de Cali x Independiente Santa Fe, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from America de Cali x Independiente Santa Fe for the Colombia Primera A – 12 of November

🏟️ America de Cali X Independiente Santa Fe – Colombia Primera A
📅 12 of November, 2024 – 01:30
🔵 America de Cali – Winning probability: 54.33% | Fair line: 1.84
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.24% | Fair line: 3.81
🔴 Independiente Santa Fe – Winning probability: 19.43% | Fair line: 5.15
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 America de Cali
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between America de Cali and Independiente Santa Fe.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1220160 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for America de Cali x Independiente Santa Fe

Is betting on America de Cali worth it?

🔵 America de Cali: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 54.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $513.00;
  • And would have lost other 460 times – with a loss of -$460.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$53.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $546.00;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$194.00.

Should you bet on Independiente Santa Fe?

🔴 Independiente Santa Fe: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $589.00;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$221.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match America de Cali x Independiente Santa Fe

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 America de Cali
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for America de Cali x Independiente Santa Fe

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 America de Cali, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 America de Cali.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for America de Cali x Independiente Santa Fe

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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