America de Cali x Junior Betting tips for December 8 in Colombia Primera A
| 📅 8/12/2024 21:30 |
 America de Cali2.08 |
X 3.20 |
Junior  3.25 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for America de Cali x Junior:
🔮 Junior wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Junior, you can win up to $1625.00!
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The main points for the tip for America de Cali x Junior: 👉 If you had bet $100 on America de Cali in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-84.0. |
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Analysis from America de Cali x Junior for the Colombia Primera A – 8 of December
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🏟️ America de Cali X Junior – Colombia Primera A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for America de Cali x Junior right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1234007 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for America de Cali x Junior
Is betting on America de Cali worth it?
🔵 America de Cali: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $388.80
- And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$251.20.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $638.00;
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$72.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Should you bet on Junior?
🔴 Junior: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $787.50;
- And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$137.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match America de Cali x Junior
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 America de Cali
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for America de Cali x Junior
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 America de Cali and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 America de Cali.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 America de Cali.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for America de Cali x Junior
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
