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Home » Predictions » Others » America de Cali x Once Caldas Betting tips for November 24 in Colombia Primera A
Sunday, 24 November 2024, 22h10 Colombia Primera A
America de Cali America de Cali
PREDICTION America de Cali wins Probability 67% 1 X 2
Once Caldas Once Caldas
ODD: @1.73 Don't miss this prediction!

America de Cali x Once Caldas Betting tips for November 24 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for America de Cali x Once Caldas, Sunday, 24/11/2024
📅 24/11/2024
22:10
America de Cali America de Cali
1.73
X
3.25
Once Caldas Once Caldas
4.94

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for America de Cali x Once Caldas:

🔮 America de Cali wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on America de Cali, you can win up to $865.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for America de Cali x Once Caldas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on America de Cali in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-124.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Once Caldas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-310.0.
👉 America de Cali did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Once Caldas conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 America de Cali has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Once Caldas playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on America de Cali x Once Caldas?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on America de Cali x Once Caldas, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from America de Cali x Once Caldas for the Colombia Primera A – 24 of November

🏟️ America de Cali X Once Caldas – Colombia Primera A
📅 24 of November, 2024 – 22:10
🔵 America de Cali – Winning probability: 67.24% | Fair line: 1.49
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.66% | Fair line: 4.84
🔴 Once Caldas – Winning probability: 12.09% | Fair line: 8.27
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 America de Cali
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on America de Cali x Once Caldas is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226364 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for America de Cali x Once Caldas

Should you bet on America de Cali?

🔵 America de Cali: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 67.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.73. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 670 times – this would give you a profit of $489.10
  • And would lose other 330 times – losing -$330.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$159.10.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $472.50
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$317.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Once Caldas?

🔴 Once Caldas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $472.80
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$407.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match America de Cali x Once Caldas

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 America de Cali
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for America de Cali x Once Caldas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 America de Cali, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 America de Cali.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Once Caldas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for America de Cali x Once Caldas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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