America MG x Atletico Mineiro Betting tips for March 15 in Brazil Campeonato Mineiro

Our betting tip for America MG x Atletico Mineiro, Saturday, 15/3/2025

📅 15/3/2025 19:30

America MG 3.68

X 3.32

Atletico Mineiro 1.87

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for America MG x Atletico Mineiro:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for America MG x Atletico Mineiro: 👉 If you had bet $100 on America MG in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-239.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Mineiro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $251.0. 👉 Atletico Mineiro did not concede a goal in the last 7 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Atletico Mineiro scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Atletico Mineiro, America MG scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 America MG matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 Atletico Mineiro matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, America MG conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Atletico Mineiro. 👉 In the last 7 road matches, Atletico Mineiro has not lost any of them. 👉 America MG has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Atletico Mineiro playing at home.

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Analysis from America MG x Atletico Mineiro for the Brazil Campeonato Mineiro – 15 of March

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between America MG and Atletico Mineiro.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281036 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for America MG x Atletico Mineiro

Is betting on America MG worth it?

🔵 America MG: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $375.20;
• And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$484.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $719.20
• And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$29.20.

Is betting on Atletico Mineiro worth it?

🔴 Atletico Mineiro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.87. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $478.50;
• And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$28.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match America MG x Atletico Mineiro

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 America MG
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for America MG x Atletico Mineiro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 America MG and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 America MG.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Atletico Mineiro.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for America MG x Atletico Mineiro

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.