America MG x Ituano Betting tips for November 12 in Brazil Serie B
| 📅 12/11/2024 22:00 |
 America MG1.47 |
X 4.10 |
Ituano  6.50 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for America MG x Ituano:
🔮 America MG wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on America MG, you can win up to $735.00!
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Some important points for the tip for America MG x Ituano: 👉 If you had bet $100 on America MG in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $270.0. |
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Analysis from America MG x Ituano for the Brazil Serie B – 12 of November
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🏟️ America MG X Ituano – Brazil Serie B |
When the best bet on America MG x Ituano is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1220942 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for America MG x Ituano
Should you bet on America MG?
🔵 America MG: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 75.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.47. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 760 times – having a profit of $357.20;
- And would have lost other 240 times – with a loss of -$240.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$117.20.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $496.00;
- And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$344.00.
Should you bet on Ituano?
🔴 Ituano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $495.00;
- And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$415.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match America MG x Ituano
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 America MG
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for America MG x Ituano
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 America MG, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 America MG.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Ituano.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for America MG x Ituano
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
