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Home Β» Predictions Β» America MG x Sport Recife Betting tips for October 29 in Brazil Serie B
Tuesday, 29 October 2024, 00h00 Brazil Serie B
America MG America MG
PREDICTION No tip
Sport Recife Sport Recife
Don't miss this prediction!

America MG x Sport Recife Betting tips for October 29 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for America MG x Sport Recife, Tuesday, 29/10/2024
πŸ“… 29/10/2024
00:00
America MG America MG
2.05
X
3.10
Sport Recife Sport Recife
3.58

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for America MG x Sport Recife:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for America MG x Sport Recife

Some important points for the tip for America MG x Sport Recife:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on America MG in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $45.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sport Recife in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $505.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, America MG scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, Sport Recife has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from America MG x Sport Recife for the Brazil Serie B – 29 of October

🏟️ America MG X Sport Recife – Brazil Serie B
πŸ“… 29 of October, 2024 – 00:00
πŸ”΅ America MG – Winning probability: 46.62% | Fair line: 2.15
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.14% | Fair line: 3.32
πŸ”΄ Sport Recife – Winning probability: 23.24% | Fair line: 4.3
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 America MG
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between America MG and Sport Recife.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1209557 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for America MG x Sport Recife

Should you bet on America MG?

πŸ”΅ America MG: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $493.50;
  • And would have lost other 530 times – with a loss of -$530.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$36.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $630.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$70.00.

Should you bet on Sport Recife?

πŸ”΄ Sport Recife: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $593.40
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$176.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match America MG x Sport Recife

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 America MG
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for America MG x Sport Recife

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 America MG, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 America MG.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for America MG x Sport Recife

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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