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Home » Predictions » Others » Amora x Estrela Amadora B Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Amora Amora
PREDICTION Amora wins Probability 59% 1 X 2
Estrela Amadora B Estrela Amadora B
ODD: @1.81 Don't miss this prediction!

Amora x Estrela Amadora B Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Amora x Estrela Amadora B, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
15:00
Amora Amora
1.81
X
3.28
Estrela Amadora B Estrela Amadora B
4.06

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Amora x Estrela Amadora B:

🔮 Amora wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Amora, you can win up to $905.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Amora x Estrela Amadora B:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Amora in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $670.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Estrela Amadora B in each of its last 4 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $55.0.
👉 In the last 3 Estrela Amadora B matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Amora x Estrela Amadora B for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 30 of November

🏟️ Amora X Estrela Amadora B – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Amora – Winning probability: 59.09% | Fair line: 1.69
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.58% | Fair line: 3.91
🔴 Estrela Amadora B – Winning probability: 15.33% | Fair line: 6.52
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Amora
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Amora x Estrela Amadora B is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Amora x Estrela Amadora B

Is it worth betting on Amora?

🔵 Amora: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.81. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $477.90;
  • And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$67.90.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $592.80;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$147.20.

Is betting on Estrela Amadora B worth it?

🔴 Estrela Amadora B: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.06. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $459.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$391.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Amora x Estrela Amadora B

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Amora
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Amora x Estrela Amadora B

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Amora and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Amora.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Estrela Amadora B.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Amora x Estrela Amadora B

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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