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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Amsterdamsche FC x Excelsior Maassluis Betting tips for November 25 in Netherlands Tweede Divisie
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Netherlands Tweede Divisie
Amsterdamsche FC Amsterdamsche FC
PREDICTION Amsterdamsche FC wins Probability 6% 1 X 2
Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis
ODD: @1.49 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Amsterdamsche FC x Excelsior Maassluis Betting tips for November 25 in Netherlands Tweede Divisie

Our betting tip for Amsterdamsche FC x Excelsior Maassluis, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
14:00
Amsterdamsche FC Amsterdamsche FC
1.49
X
3.80
Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis
6.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Amsterdamsche FC x Excelsior Maassluis:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Amsterdamsche FC wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Amsterdamsche FC, you can win up to $745.00!

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Important information for your tip for Amsterdamsche FC x Excelsior Maassluis:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Amsterdamsche FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $407.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Excelsior Maassluis in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Amsterdamsche FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Excelsior Maassluis matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Excelsior Maassluis conceded at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Amsterdamsche FC has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Excelsior Maassluis playing at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Excelsior Maassluis as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Amsterdamsche FC x Excelsior Maassluis

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Summary

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Analysis from Amsterdamsche FC x Excelsior Maassluis for the Netherlands Tweede Divisie – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Amsterdamsche FC X Excelsior Maassluis – Netherlands Tweede Divisie
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 14:00
๐Ÿ”ต Amsterdamsche FC – Winning probability: 77.56% | Fair line: 1.29
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.31% | Fair line: 6.13
๐Ÿ”ด Excelsior Maassluis – Winning probability: 6.13% | Fair line: 16.32
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Amsterdamsche FC
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Amsterdamsche FC x Excelsior Maassluis right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Amsterdamsche FC x Excelsior Maassluis

Should you bet on Amsterdamsche FC?

๐Ÿ”ต Amsterdamsche FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 77.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.49. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 780 times – having a profit of $382.20;
  • And would have lost other 220 times – with a loss of -$220.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$162.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $448.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$392.00.

Is it worth betting on Excelsior Maassluis?

๐Ÿ”ด Excelsior Maassluis: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $300.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$640.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Amsterdamsche FC x Excelsior Maassluis

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Amsterdamsche FC
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Amsterdamsche FC x Excelsior Maassluis

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Amsterdamsche FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Amsterdamsche FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Excelsior Maassluis.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Amsterdamsche FC x Excelsior Maassluis

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves